TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's price direction at a set time, whereas spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and macroeconomic forecasts. This market's odds can diverge from analyst consensus when traders price in tail risks or sentiment shifts that traditional models miss. Comparing the two reveals whether the prediction market is pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than the broader market narrative suggests.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether Solana's price at the specified time on June 29, 7PM ET closes above or below its reference level. Once the snapshot is captured and verified, the winning outcome is locked in and traders' positions settle accordingly.
Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator performance announcements, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings that typically correlate with SOL. Regulatory news, exchange listings, or ecosystem developments can also shift trader positioning. Additionally, broader crypto sentiment, Federal Reserve communications, and traditional market volatility often influence short-term price direction in the days leading up to the June 29 snapshot.