TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4AM ET
polymarket

Will Solana be up on June 29, 4AM ET?

Volume:
$948

Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4AM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 5:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Solana price movement market dashboard displays real-time odds for whether SOL will trade up or down by the specified time. Traders can monitor the current probability, historical price action, and trading volume as participants buy and sell shares reflecting their conviction on the direction of Solana's price. The dashboard provides a live snapshot of market sentiment, allowing you to track how consensus shifts as new information emerges and the resolution date approaches.

Prediction market odds often diverge from spot price momentum because they incorporate longer-term uncertainty and trader positioning. While spot prices react to immediate news and technical moves, this market aggregates forward-looking bets on Solana's direction over a specific window. Traders may price in volatility, regulatory developments, or macro sentiment that spot markets haven't fully reflected. Comparing the odds here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in tail risks or consensus expectations.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling binary outcome shares—one for Solana Up and one for Solana Down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; if Up shares trade at a higher price, the market is pricing a higher chance of an upward move. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices adjust, so deeper pools allow larger trades with less slippage.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Solana's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by comparing SOL's price at the specified time against the reference point, establishing whether it moved up or down. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the event is settled and verified.

Major catalysts include Solana ecosystem announcements, network upgrades, or changes in validator participation that affect confidence in the chain. Broader crypto market moves—Bitcoin volatility, regulatory news, or shifts in risk appetite—typically drive SOL alongside other altcoins. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve policy signals, and institutional adoption trends can also sway sentiment. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity may influence trader positioning as the resolution window approaches.