TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's price direction, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, this market incorporates forward-looking sentiment, technical analysis, and macroeconomic factors that traders believe will influence SOL by the resolution time. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader sentiment. Prediction markets typically embed information faster than traditional surveys, making them a useful benchmark for directional conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on Solana's verified price action at the specified time. The result will be determined by whether SOL closes above or below its reference level, verified against credible public sources including major exchange data and blockchain records. Once the event is observable and confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts according to their positions. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the deadline as data becomes available.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana network updates, changes in validator performance or security, shifts in broader crypto sentiment, and macroeconomic announcements affecting risk appetite. Regulatory news, large whale transactions, or technical breakouts on competing blockchains can also sway trader positioning. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity may influence medium-term conviction. Real-time Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with SOL, so volatility in major cryptocurrencies could trigger rapid repricing of this market as traders adjust their directional bets.