TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's price movement, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment, technical analysis, and macro catalysts. If this market shows strong odds favoring an up move, it suggests traders expect bullish momentum despite current spot conditions. Conversely, heavy down-side odds may signal anticipated headwinds. These odds can serve as a contrarian signal or confirmation tool when compared to traditional technical or fundamental analysis.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buy and sell orders directly influence the probability displayed. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome (up or down) reflects the cumulative conviction of all participants. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread and increases price stability. Liquidity providers and active traders continuously adjust positions, so odds can shift rapidly in response to news, technical levels, or shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information about Solana's expected price action.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on verifiable public data about Solana's price movement. The resolution hinges on whether Solana's price has moved up or down relative to the reference point at the specified time. Once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, the market settles and winning positions are paid out. Traders should monitor the exact settlement terms on the platform to ensure clarity on how the up or down outcome is measured.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before resolution. Major Solana ecosystem announcements, network upgrades, or validator changes often trigger price volatility. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, and macroeconomic news can also influence Solana's direction. Regulatory developments affecting crypto or staking, changes in developer activity, or shifts in institutional interest may sway trader positioning. Technical levels and support or resistance zones are watched closely by technical traders. Real-time monitoring of Solana's on-chain metrics, trading volume, and sentiment indicators can help anticipate market moves.