TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about future price direction, while spot prices represent current market valuations. This market's odds can diverge from technical analysis or analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-money incentives and diverse participant views. When odds shift significantly, it often signals that traders are pricing in new information or shifting conviction about Solana's near-term trajectory relative to where the broader market currently values the asset.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares directly moves the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Solana Up or Solana Down—has its own share price, and the sum of both probabilities equals 100 percent. As traders place orders, the pricing algorithm adjusts to maintain balance, ensuring that the odds you see reflect the latest consensus among active participants on the platform.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying Solana's price movement against credible public sources. The event window closes at the specified time, and traders' positions settle based on whether SOL moved in the predicted direction. Once the outcome is confirmed from reliable market data, all winning shares pay out at full value and losing shares expire worthless.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana network updates, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin price movements, and broader sentiment changes in digital assets. Technical developments on the Solana blockchain, exchange listings or delistings, and institutional adoption news can also shift trader conviction. Real-time market volatility, competing layer-one announcements, and changes in on-chain activity metrics may influence how participants position themselves ahead of the resolution window.