TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot prices represent current market value. This market aggregates the views of thousands of participants who profit or lose based on accuracy, creating a financial incentive to forecast correctly. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst sentiment or historical volatility can reveal whether the crowd expects a move that spot markets have not yet priced in, or conversely, whether consensus is already baked into current levels.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the ratio of shares in the pool determines the current odds. As traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts continuously, reflecting the evolving consensus on Solana's direction. Liquidity providers earn fees on every trade, incentivizing deep order books and tight spreads.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources to determine whether Solana moved up or down. Once the event is verifiable from established market data, the winning outcome shares are redeemed at full value and losing shares expire worthless. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout proportional to their stake.
Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, changes in validator participation, shifts in institutional adoption, macroeconomic moves affecting risk appetite, regulatory announcements, and competing blockchain developments. Technical levels and on-chain metrics such as transaction volume and staking activity can also influence trader conviction. Breaking news about the Solana ecosystem or broader crypto market sentiment swings often trigger rapid repricing, so monitoring news feeds and on-chain data alongside this market can help you anticipate momentum shifts.