TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Solana's price direction by Jun 11, 2026, but they differ from spot price expectations because they embed risk premiums, liquidity conditions, and longer-term sentiment. Spot prices move on immediate supply and demand, while prediction markets aggregate forward-looking views over a fixed timeframe. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to fundamental signals. Divergences often signal trading opportunities or emerging catalysts.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side. As traders place orders, the price adjusts automatically via the platform's automated market maker. Shares in the winning outcome pay out at full value at resolution, while losing shares expire worthless. The bid-ask spread and order book depth on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given moment.
The Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Solana's price at the specified moment against the reference level. The market will settle based on verified price data, and traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout. Until resolution, the market remains open for trading, and odds will fluctuate based on new information, technical developments, and shifts in trader sentiment about Solana's near-term direction.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET market. Major blockchain upgrades, validator network changes, or announcements from the Solana Foundation could drive bullish sentiment. Regulatory news affecting crypto broadly, macroeconomic shifts, or Bitcoin price movements often influence altcoin direction. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity may signal strength or weakness. Market-wide volatility, exchange listings or delistings, and competing layer-one developments also matter. Traders monitor these signals continuously, repricing the market as new information emerges closer to the Jun 11, 2026 resolution deadline.