TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Solana's directional move, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in forward-looking sentiment over the full window until Jun 1, 2026. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in upcoming catalysts or macro shifts. Spot price strength does not always align with prediction market conviction, as traders may hedge or speculate on reversals independent of current price levels.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET market uses an automated market maker model where prices are determined by the ratio of shares held in each outcome pool. Traders buy or sell shares of the Up or Down outcome, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price efficiency. The current odds reflect the cumulative bets of all participants and update continuously as new trades execute through Jun 1, 2026.
The Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Solana's price at the specified resolution moment against a reference level. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the market closes, settling all open positions based on the confirmed price data.
Several catalysts could shift Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET odds before Jun 1, 2026. Major network upgrades, validator performance announcements, or ecosystem partnerships may drive bullish sentiment. Conversely, regulatory news, security incidents, or broader crypto market downturns could pressure the price lower. Macro events such as Federal Reserve policy shifts or Bitcoin volatility often ripple through altcoins. On-chain metrics like active addresses and transaction volume can signal user adoption trends. Watch for developer activity and competing Layer 1 announcements that might affect Solana's relative positioning.