TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Volume:
$2,908
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about Solana's direction, which may diverge from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets on Polymarket incorporate longer-term sentiment and fundamental expectations through Jun 1, 2026. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader Solana ecosystem developments and macro conditions.

The market resolves at Jun 1, 2026, marking the official settlement time. The outcome is determined by Solana's price direction at that exact moment, comparing it to a reference baseline established at market creation. Once the resolution timestamp passes, the winning outcome is finalized and traders receive payouts proportional to their holdings. Until then, positions remain open and tradable on Polymarket.

Key catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator performance announcements, and ecosystem partnership news. Macro crypto sentiment shifts, Bitcoin price movements, and regulatory developments can also influence Solana's direction. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity may signal fundamental strength or weakness. Additionally, broader market risk-off events, Fed policy announcements, or major DeFi protocol updates on Solana could trigger significant repricing before Jun 1, 2026.