TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's directional move by Jun 1, 2026, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action and technical levels, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment and event risk over the full window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in catalysts that spot traders have not yet fully discounted. This gap often signals trading opportunities for informed participants.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this binary event is priced as two complementary outcomes: Solana Up and Solana Down. Each outcome has an implied probability derived from order book depth and recent trades. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell interest for each side. Prices move as traders adjust positions in response to Solana news, macro crypto sentiment, and technical levels. Liquidity and spreads vary throughout the day, affecting how easily large orders can be filled at posted prices.
Key catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator performance reports, and ecosystem funding announcements. Macro crypto sentiment—driven by Bitcoin and Ethereum moves, regulatory news, and Fed policy—often correlates with Solana price action. On-chain metrics such as transaction volume and active addresses can signal strength or weakness. Competitor developments in the Layer 1 space and major DeFi or NFT activity on Solana may also influence direction. Traders should monitor social sentiment, technical support and resistance levels, and broader market risk appetite leading up to Jun 1, 2026.