TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's price direction, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market incorporates forward-looking sentiment, technical analysis, and macro factors that traders believe will influence SOL by the resolution time. Comparing the odds here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in optimism or caution relative to recent price action. This divergence often signals where informed traders see value or risk.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on Solana's verified price movement at that specific time. The result will be determined by comparing SOL's price at the resolution moment against credible public sources, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Once the event is verifiable from established market data, the winning outcome is declared and traders receive their payouts accordingly. The exact timing and price source are set by the platform to eliminate ambiguity.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana network updates, changes in validator performance or security, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, and macroeconomic announcements affecting risk appetite. Regulatory news, exchange listings or delistings, and competing blockchain developments can also sway trader positioning. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and active addresses may influence technical traders' views. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often drag altcoins along, so monitoring the broader market is essential for understanding potential swings in this market before the July 7 resolution.