TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome—up or down—and the price of each reflects the probability the market assigns. As traders buy or sell shares, the price moves, incentivizing arbitrage and discovery of the true probability. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays efficient and responsive to new information about Solana's price direction.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, when the event time passes and Solana's price movement can be verified. The outcome is confirmed once credible public sources document whether SOL closed above or below its opening price at that moment. Resolution is binary: either Solana moved up or it moved down. Once the data is finalized and verified, the market settles and winning shares are redeemed at full value.
Major catalysts include Solana network updates, changes in validator activity, shifts in broader crypto sentiment, and macroeconomic news affecting risk appetite. Regulatory announcements, competing blockchain developments, and large on-chain transactions can also sway trader conviction. Bitcoin and Ethereum price moves often drag altcoins along, so monitoring those markets is useful. Breaking news about Solana's ecosystem—partnerships, security incidents, or developer activity—tends to trigger sharp repricing in this market as traders adjust their bets.