TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 5PM ET
polymarket

Will Solana be up on July 10, 5PM ET?

Volume:
$2,555

Solana Up or Down - July 10, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - July 10, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - July 10, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Solana price movement market dashboard displays real-time odds for whether SOL will trade up or down by the July 10 deadline at 5PM ET. Traders can monitor the current probability of each outcome, historical price movements within the market, and recent trading activity. The dashboard provides a transparent view of how the prediction market is pricing Solana's directional move, allowing participants to assess consensus sentiment and identify trading opportunities as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's price direction, often diverging from spot market sentiment due to different time horizons and participant bases. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, this market captures forward-looking conviction about a specific outcome window. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in event risk, volatility expectations, or macro catalysts that spot traders may not yet have fully priced in.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Solana's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by whether SOL closes above or below its opening price at the specified time, assessed against established price feeds and market data. Once the event passes and the result is confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator performance announcements, and shifts in broader crypto sentiment tied to Bitcoin or Ethereum. Regulatory news affecting SOL's trading status, large whale transactions, or changes in developer activity on the Solana blockchain can trigger sharp repricing. Macro events—Federal Reserve policy shifts, risk-on or risk-off sentiment in equities—often correlate with altcoin moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also influence short-term volatility and trader positioning leading up to the July 10 deadline.