TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot price levels because they reflect trader conviction about future movement rather than current valuation. While spot exchanges show where Solana trades now, this market aggregates expectations about where it will be at a precise future moment. Traders betting on directional moves may price in volatility, upcoming announcements, or macroeconomic shifts that spot prices haven't yet fully absorbed, creating a forward-looking signal distinct from real-time exchange quotes.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the collective bets placed by participants, with each trade shifting the odds incrementally. You can buy or sell shares representing either outcome, and your position's value fluctuates as the market reprices based on new information and trading activity leading up to resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying Solana's price direction against credible public sources. The result will reflect whether SOL closed above or below its opening level at the specified time, confirmed through established market data. Once the event passes and the outcome is verifiable, the market settles and winning positions are paid out accordingly.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana network developments, regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, macroeconomic data releases, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings that typically correlate with altcoin moves. Technical levels and support or resistance zones on SOL's chart can also trigger trader positioning shifts. Unexpected security incidents, ecosystem news, or shifts in risk appetite across digital assets may drive rapid repricing as traders adjust their directional bets ahead of the July 1st snapshot.