TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - April 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
kalshi
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - April 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$12,247

$77 or above

 - Kalshi

$77 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$77 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,191
N/A
N/A
$964
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,050
N/A
N/A
$867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
$621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
$578
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
$237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$43 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$46 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$48 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$44 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$45 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana's price moves up or down during a specific 4-hour window on April 2, 2026 (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET). Kalshi offers 75 binary contracts tied to specific price thresholds measured via CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI at 5 PM EDT, while Polymarket offers a single binary contract comparing end-of-window price to start-of-window price using Chainlink's SOL/USD data stream.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct measurement methodologies and data sources create settlement value mismatch. Kalshi uses a single 60-second CF Benchmarks snapshot at 5 PM EDT against fixed thresholds; Polymarket compares Chainlink prices at window start (4:00 PM) versus window end (8:00 PM).Hero tip: Kalshi and Polymarket are measuring different things: Kalshi captures a single moment (5 PM), while Polymarket measures directional change over the full 4-hour period. A price spike at 5 PM could trigger Kalshi thresholds but reverse by 8 PM, causing Polymarket to resolve Down. Cross-platform arbitrage risk is high.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 75 binary contracts, each tied to a specific price threshold. Resolution occurs at 5 PM EDT based on the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT. Thresholds range from $42.9999 to $116.9999. Key Quote: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Single binary contract comparing Solana price at end of window (8:00 PM ET) to start of window (4:00 PM ET) using Chainlink SOL/USD data stream. Resolves Up if end price >= start price, otherwise Down. Key Quote: This market will resolve to Up if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.