TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - April 12, 6PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - April 12, 6PM ET

Volume:
$28,433

$82 or above

 - Kalshi

$82 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$82 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,945
N/A
N/A
$1,398
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$625
N/A
N/A
$621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$43 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$46 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$48 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$50 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - April 12, 6PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,865
N/A
N/A
$5,949
Settled
No
kalshi

$101 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,682
N/A
N/A
$1,682
Settled
No
kalshi

$83 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,087
N/A
N/A
$905
Settled
No
kalshi

$88 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$626
Settled
No
kalshi

$84 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
No
kalshi

$99 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

$87 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana (SOL) price moves up or down on April 12, 2026 at a specified time. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle close vs. open comparison on Binance SOL/USDT, while Kalshi uses a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI index at 5 PM EDT with 60 discrete price thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different data sources (Binance SOL/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI), different time windows (1-hour candle vs. 60-second average), different timestamps (6 PM ET vs. 5 PM EDT), and different resolution structures (binary Up/Down vs. 60 price-level thresholds). These markets cannot be directly reconciled.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with independent resolution paths. Polymarket resolves on Binance candle mechanics; Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks index data. Confirm your exchange and data source before taking a position. A price move that resolves Up on Polymarket may not trigger any specific Kalshi threshold, and vice versa.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market: resolves Up if SOL/USDT 1-hour candle close >= open on Binance for the candle beginning at 6 PM ET on April 12, 2026. Otherwise resolves Down. Single resolution source: Binance SOL/USDT pair, 1-hour chart.
  • Kalshi: 60 discrete price-level markets: each resolves Yes if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on April 12, 2026 exceeds a specific threshold ($42.9999 through $116.9999 in $1 increments). Otherwise resolves No. Single resolution source: CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.