TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds offer a fascinating comparison to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect current market value, this market represents a collective forecast of where the price will be on a specific date. Discrepancies can arise from factors like risk aversion, information asymmetry, or differing beliefs about future events impacting Solana. If the market odds significantly diverge from analyst predictions or polls, it suggests a unique perspective is being priced in by traders on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current trading volume indicates the level of activity and confidence in these predictions, providing a dynamic assessment of potential price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely-recognized exchange at a specific time on September 28. The exact details of the price verification process are defined by Polymarket's market rules, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 28, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as network upgrades or partnerships, could influence price expectations. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin's performance and regulatory news, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in investor sentiment could also cause substantial price fluctuations, impacting trading activity and the implied probabilities within this market.