TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect current market value, this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders regarding the future price of Solana. If a significant number of traders believe the price will increase, the odds will reflect that expectation, potentially diverging from current spot prices. This can provide valuable insight into market sentiment and potential future price movements, especially as analysts and polls may not fully capture the nuanced views of dedicated traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on Sep 24, 2026. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the price being above or below a certain threshold. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined by the forces of supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives up share prices, indicating growing confidence in a particular outcome, while selling pressure lowers them. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the USD value of one Solana token at a specified time on that date. The exact source used for determining the Solana price will be publicly available on Polymarket prior to resolution. Traders should review the market details on Polymarket for the precise time and methodology used to determine the final price.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Sep 24, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or adoption by institutional investors could all shift trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic trends, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall cryptocurrency market performance will also play a role. Unexpected regulatory announcements or security breaches impacting the Solana ecosystem could also cause substantial price fluctuations and, consequently, movement within this market. Monitoring these events is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the predicted Solana price.