TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where the Solana price will be on September 22. These odds represent what traders believe is the probability of different price outcomes, and can often differ from those found in traditional polls or analyst reports. This market provides a unique, incentivized view, as participants put their capital at risk based on their predictions. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and external forecasts can present potential trading opportunities, as the market adjusts to new information and changing expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the price will be above a certain level, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the Solana price at a specific time on September 22, as determined by a widely-recognized and reliable data source. Traders should monitor news and data releases leading up to the resolution date, as these events could influence the final outcome and the market's price. The market will then settle, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 22, 2026. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as changes in Bitcoin's price or regulatory announcements, could impact Solana. News regarding Solana's network upgrades, partnerships, or adoption rates would also be key catalysts. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases, like inflation figures or interest rate decisions, could also influence investor sentiment and, consequently, the price of Solana. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.