TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 1:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd estimate of future events, often differing from current spot prices or analyst predictions. This market, focused on the Solana price, aggregates the beliefs of many traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than individual opinions. If analysts widely expect a price increase, we might see odds shift towards higher price ranges in this market. However, market participants may have access to different information or interpret it differently, leading to divergences from conventional expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on September 18. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective expectations of traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn't determined by a central authority but emerges from the interactions of many participants, creating a dynamic and responsive market for predicting the future Solana price.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform's standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should review the platform’s documentation for complete details.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding the Solana blockchain, such as upgrades, security breaches, or partnerships, could shift trader sentiment. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and regulatory developments, will also play a role. Additionally, macroeconomic events like inflation reports or interest rate decisions could influence investor risk appetite and, consequently, the price of Solana. Unexpected developments in the DeFi space or within competing blockchain ecosystems could also move this market.