TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Solana price on September 16?
polymarket

Solana price on September 16?

Volume:
$8,952

90-100

 - Polymarket

90-100 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

90-100

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80-90

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

110-120

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-110

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-130

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-70

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-150

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130-140

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>150

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<60

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Solana price market tracks the current implied probability of the price of Solana being above or below a certain level on September 16. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $7,185. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $8,952. This provides a clear overview of how traders are positioning themselves on the future price of Solana.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than typical spot price expectations. While spot prices are influenced by immediate supply and demand, this market represents a collective forecast of where the price will be on a specific date. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like risk aversion, information asymmetry, or differing beliefs about future events impacting Solana. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price movements, providing a forward-looking view beyond current trading activity.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the participants, offering a real-time assessment of Solana's potential price.

This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted data source at the specified time. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of whether the market resolves in favor of the 'above' or 'below' outcome, reflecting the actual price movement of Solana on that date.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 16, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as network upgrades or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could impact the price. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and regulatory news, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in investor sentiment could also cause substantial price fluctuations, influencing trading activity and ultimately shifting the odds within this market.