TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than typical spot price expectations. While spot prices are influenced by immediate supply and demand, this market represents a collective forecast of where the price will be on a specific date. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like risk aversion, information asymmetry, or differing beliefs about future events impacting Solana. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price movements, providing a forward-looking view beyond current trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the participants, offering a real-time assessment of Solana's potential price.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted data source at the specified time. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of whether the market resolves in favor of the 'above' or 'below' outcome, reflecting the actual price movement of Solana on that date.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 16, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as network upgrades or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could impact the price. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and regulatory news, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in investor sentiment could also cause substantial price fluctuations, influencing trading activity and ultimately shifting the odds within this market.