TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than typical spot price expectations for Solana. While traditional analysts may offer price targets based on technical analysis or fundamental valuation, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. This means the odds reflect not just *what* traders think will happen, but also *how confident* they are in their predictions. Discrepancies between the market’s implied price and external forecasts can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different Solana price ranges. The price of each share reflects the probability of that price range being correct on September 12. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the price of Solana is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely-recognized exchange at a specific time on September 12. The exact price used for resolution is determined by Polymarket’s process, and the outcome will reflect the prevailing market price at that moment. Traders should review Polymarket’s documentation for complete details.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 12, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could impact the price. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could also play a role. Additionally, significant news regarding regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrencies or large-scale movements in the broader crypto market, including Bitcoin, could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market.