TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal crowd expectations that often diverge from analyst forecasts or near-term spot prices. In this market, traders are pricing in their collective view of where Solana will settle by June 30, which may reflect longer-term fundamentals, regulatory shifts, or macroeconomic factors that spot markets haven't fully priced in. Unlike traditional price charts, prediction odds aggregate forward-looking sentiment rather than current exchange rates, making them a distinct signal of market conviction about future value.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as Solana trading above or below a specific price level—has its own contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes equals 100%. As traders buy or sell shares, the price shifts to reflect new consensus, with deeper liquidity allowing larger positions to move the market less dramatically.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Solana's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The final settlement reflects the spot price at a specified time on that date, typically sourced from major exchanges or price aggregators. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout once the event is official and the market closes.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana network upgrades, changes in validator economics, shifts in institutional adoption, and broader crypto market sentiment. Regulatory announcements affecting blockchain platforms, macroeconomic policy changes, and competing layer-one developments can all influence trader positioning. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with Solana, so movements in larger cryptocurrencies may ripple through this prediction market as traders reassess risk and opportunity.