TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. When this market shows high conviction toward a particular price range, it typically reflects accumulated bets from participants with real capital at stake. Comparing these odds to traditional price targets from research firms can highlight where the crowd sees asymmetric risk or opportunity in Solana's valuation.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each price range for Solana on June 21 has its own contract, and the cost to buy a share directly reflects the market's probability estimate. As more traders bet on a particular outcome, that contract's price rises, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that balances supply and demand in real time.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Solana's price on that date is verifiable from credible public sources. Winning shares are those corresponding to the price range in which SOL actually traded at the specified time. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event, allowing traders to settle their positions and claim winnings.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana ecosystem announcements, regulatory developments affecting crypto broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and Bitcoin price movements. Network upgrades, validator performance issues, or adoption milestones can also shift trader conviction. Broader crypto sentiment, Federal Reserve policy signals, and institutional inflows or outflows typically drive volatility across all digital assets, including Solana.