TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot prices because they reflect forward-looking consensus rather than current market value. On this market, traders are pricing in expectations about Solana's price on a specific future date, factoring in volatility, macroeconomic conditions, and on-chain developments. Spot prices reflect only today's supply and demand; prediction odds incorporate collective bets on what will happen. When this market shows high conviction around a particular price range, it suggests traders expect stability or directional movement, whereas lower odds indicate uncertainty or disagreement about the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources documenting Solana's price on that date. The resolution hinges on verifying where SOL actually traded at the specified time, using widely recognized price feeds and market data. Once the event is verifiable from established reporting, the market settles and winning positions are paid out. Traders should monitor the approach to this date and be aware that final price confirmation may take a short time after the event occurs.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana ecosystem developments, regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, macroeconomic shifts, and Bitcoin price movements—since SOL often correlates with BTC. Technical milestones like network upgrades, validator changes, or security incidents can also sway sentiment. Broader crypto adoption news, central bank policy decisions, and shifts in institutional interest in digital assets may influence where traders expect Solana to settle. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and competing layer-one narratives will help you gauge whether conviction around the current price band is likely to hold through June 20.