TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot prices because they embed forward-looking expectations about volatility, regulatory news, and macroeconomic shifts. While spot exchanges reflect the current transaction price, this market aggregates traders' beliefs about where Solana will settle on a specific future date. Comparing the implied price from odds to today's spot price can reveal whether the crowd expects appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation. This gap frequently widens during periods of uncertainty or ahead of major announcements.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each price range for Solana on June 18 has its own share pool, and the cost to buy or sell reflects the current probability implied by the order book. As more capital flows into higher or lower price brackets, the odds shift dynamically. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once Solana's price on that date becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the settlement price to the predefined price brackets offered in the market. Traders who correctly predicted the range receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the market close, after price data is confirmed and finalized.
Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, changes in validator economics, shifts in institutional adoption, and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment. Regulatory announcements affecting blockchain infrastructure or staking rewards can trigger sharp repricing. Macroeconomic events—interest rate decisions, inflation data, or risk-off sentiment—often ripple through crypto markets. Technical developments, competing layer-one launches, and shifts in developer activity on the Solana ecosystem also influence trader positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics and ecosystem news helps anticipate how this market may evolve.