TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana price on June 13?
polymarket
kalshi

Solana price on June 13?

Volume:
$38,349

$68 or above

 - Kalshi

$68 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,824
N/A
N/A
$3,078
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,171
N/A
N/A
$2,518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
$866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
$699
Settled
Yes
polymarket

60-70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$783
N/A
N/A
$783
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
$723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,879
N/A
N/A
$4,372
Settled
No
polymarket

50-60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$71 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,392
N/A
N/A
$2,430
Settled
No
kalshi

$70 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,987
N/A
N/A
$1,987
Settled
No
polymarket

90-100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$28 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$29 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$30 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$31 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 86

Description

This event group tracks the price of Solana (SOL) on June 13, 2026, across two major prediction platforms using different data sources and time windows. Polymarket uses Binance SOL/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon), while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI averaged over 60 seconds before 5:00 PM EDT. Both platforms offer granular price bracket markets to allow traders to bet on specific price ranges.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two platforms measure Solana price at different times (12:00 PM ET vs 5:00 PM EDT) using different sources (Binance spot vs CF Benchmarks index), creating settlement value mismatch risk and potential for conflicting bracket resolutions.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate price discovery events. Monitor Binance SOL/USDT at noon ET for Polymarket resolution and CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI at 5 PM EDT for Kalshi resolution. Price movements between these windows can create arbitrage or hedging opportunities. Index-based Kalshi pricing is more resistant to flash crashes but may lag spot prices during trending moves.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves on Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on June 13. Single exchange spot price with explicit rule: if price falls exactly between brackets, resolves to higher range bracket. Covers price ranges from <$20 to >$110.
  • Kalshi: Resolves on CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second simple average before 5:00 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. Institutional benchmark index measured 5 hours after Polymarket. Covers 75 granular price thresholds from >$27.9999 to >$101.9999, each resolving independently to Yes if threshold exceeded.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI over 60 seconds prior to 5 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a price threshold, and resolution occurs if the averaged price exceeds that threshold at exactly the specified time. The official and final value is calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. Cryptocurrency price data varies by source; CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for this market.

Frequently asked questions

The Solana price prediction market aggregates trader forecasts across Polymarket and Kalshi, capturing real-time consensus on where SOL will trade on June 13, 2026. Traders on each platform submit positions on specific price ranges or outcomes, and the collective odds reflect the crowd's conviction. This market pools liquidity and viewpoints from multiple venues, giving you a cross-platform snapshot of where professional and retail predictors expect Solana to settle. Current activity shows varied confidence levels across platforms, with total engagement reflecting genuine uncertainty about the asset's mid-year trajectory.

Prediction market odds distill forward-looking sentiment into probabilities, whereas spot prices reflect only current supply and demand. On this market, traders are pricing in volatility, macro conditions, and Solana-specific catalysts months in advance. The odds often diverge from naive extrapolation of today's price because predictors factor in regulatory shifts, network upgrades, and broader crypto sentiment. If this market shows low conviction on any single outcome, it signals genuine disagreement about mid-year direction—a signal spot prices alone cannot convey. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in mean reversion, momentum, or equilibrium.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, use distinct contract designs, and may have varying liquidity depth for this outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Contract structures differ too: one platform may offer tighter price bands while the other uses broader ranges, attracting different risk appetites. Liquidity imbalances mean a large order on one venue can move odds more sharply than on the other. Additionally, each platform's user demographics and fee structures influence how aggressively traders enter or exit positions. These mechanical and behavioral differences create natural spreads that savvy traders exploit for arbitrage.

Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator health announcements, and shifts in institutional adoption or regulatory clarity around SOL. Macro crypto sentiment—driven by Bitcoin moves, Fed policy, or stablecoin developments—often ripples through this market. Competing Layer 1 performance or security incidents elsewhere in the ecosystem can redirect capital flows. Developer activity, ecosystem funding rounds, and exchange listings also influence medium-term price expectations. Geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks that reshape risk appetite will likely reprrice this market sharply. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics, developer commits, and news flow typically spot directional shifts before they fully reflect in odds.