TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from spot price alone. While spot exchanges show Solana's current trading price, this market captures forward-looking sentiment about where the asset will trade on a specific future date. Traders incorporate technical analysis, macroeconomic factors, and event catalysts into their positions. When odds shift significantly from historical price ranges, it typically signals that participants expect material moves or changing market conditions. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or contrarian views.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying and selling shares directly moves the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects the market's strongest conviction about Solana's price range on the settlement date. As more capital flows into either side, the odds adjust in real time. This continuous repricing ensures that the market price always reflects the latest information and trader sentiment, making it a dynamic gauge of community expectations for this specific event.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying Solana's actual price against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the event date passes and pricing data is confirmed. Until that time, you can continue to trade your position, allowing you to adjust your exposure or lock in gains or losses based on market movement.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before July 7. Major blockchain upgrades, regulatory announcements, or macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite often trigger sharp repricing. On-chain metrics like network activity and validator participation may signal fundamental strength or weakness. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin price action, and traditional finance volatility can also influence sentiment. Additionally, news about Solana's ecosystem—partnerships, security incidents, or developer adoption—may reshape trader conviction. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate market moves and adjust positions accordingly.