TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana price on July 31?
polymarket
kalshi

Solana price on July 31?

Volume:
$54,502

$72 to 72.9999

 - Kalshi

$72 to 72.9999 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$72 to 72.9999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,201
N/A
N/A
$7,263
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70-80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 to 73.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,996
N/A
N/A
$7,952
Settled
No
kalshi

$74 to 74.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,590
N/A
N/A
$3,806
Settled
No
polymarket

60-70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$75 to 75.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
$983
Settled
No
polymarket

30-40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$76 to 76.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
polymarket

100-110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

110-120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$71 to 71.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$324
Settled
No
kalshi

$70 to 70.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
No
kalshi

$78 to 78.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$50.9999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$51 to 51.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$52 to 52.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$53 to 53.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$54 to 54.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$55 to 55.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks the price of Solana (SOL) on July 31, comparing multiple bracket markets on Polymarket and a single average price market on Kalshi. The Polymarket markets use Binance's 1-minute candle close price at noon ET, while the Kalshi market uses the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch - Different price sources and timing windowsHero tip: Focus on the platform with the most transparent and verifiable source. Consider hedging positions if trading both markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on July 31. Market resolves to higher range bracket if price falls exactly between two brackets.
  • Kalshi: Uses simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on July 31. Market resolves to Yes if average is $98.9999 or higher.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average price of SOL measured using CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI index during the sixty seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 31, 2026. Exactly fifty markets exist, each corresponding to a distinct price range: one for $50.9999 or below, forty-nine for consecutive $1 increments from $51 to $98.9999, and one for any price above $98.9999. All markets share identical measurement methodology and data source specifications. At expiration, CF Benchmarks collects sixty real-time price indicators within the final minute before 5 PM EDT, calculates their arithmetic mean, and compares this value against the relevant threshold for each market. The secondary rule consistently clarifies that while public exchanges like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the official resolution relies exclusively on CF Benchmarks' RTI data collection and averaging process.