TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 12:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, the odds suggest a consensus view of Solana's likely price range on the settlement date. Spot markets price the asset based on immediate supply and demand, while prediction markets incorporate forward-looking expectations and longer-term conviction. The gap between the two can signal whether traders expect significant volatility, adoption news, or macro shifts. Comparing these odds to your own price outlook helps identify whether the market is pricing in tail risks or consensus scenarios.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy or sell shares representing different price outcomes, and the cost of each share reflects the current probability the market assigns to that outcome. As more traders buy a particular price band, its odds rise; conversely, selling pressure lowers them. The mechanism ensures continuous pricing and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, dynamic rates throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that time, Solana's price will be checked against the specified range, and the result will be locked in. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the data is available, ensuring all participants receive their settlement simultaneously and fairly.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Jul 27, 2026. Major Solana network upgrades, changes in validator economics, or shifts in broader crypto sentiment could drive price expectations higher or lower. Regulatory announcements affecting the entire sector, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, and macroeconomic data releases often ripple through altcoin markets. Additionally, Solana-specific developments—such as ecosystem partnerships, security incidents, or adoption milestones—tend to move trader conviction. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and news flow will help you anticipate how this market may evolve.