TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices because they factor in expected volatility, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain catalysts over the forecast horizon. While spot price shows where Solana trades right now, this market prices in forward-looking sentiment. Traders who believe the consensus is too bullish or bearish can profit by taking the opposite side. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with analyst forecasts because real money is at stake and participants have skin in the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as whether Solana will fall within a specific price band—has its own contract, and the cost to buy or sell reflects the crowd's current conviction. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price rises and implied probability increases. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the event period.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Solana's price is verifiable from credible public sources. Winning positions are determined by where SOL actually trades at that moment, measured against the specific price thresholds defined in the contract. Once the event passes and data is finalized, the platform distributes winnings to holders of the correct outcome. Participants should monitor the approach to Jul 24, 2026 to ensure they understand which price range they've backed.
Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, changes in validator economics, shifts in broader crypto sentiment, regulatory announcements affecting the ecosystem, and macroeconomic events that influence risk appetite. Technical developments—such as improvements to throughput or security—can reshape long-term confidence. Competitive pressure from other Layer 1 blockchains and institutional adoption trends also matter. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, developer activity, and correlation with Bitcoin and Ethereum to anticipate price moves. Any unexpected news about Solana's roadmap or the wider crypto market can trigger rapid repricing of this market.