TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 20, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to risk on a specific outcome, which often diverges from current spot prices on crypto exchanges. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices forward-looking expectations about where Solana will trade on Jul 20, 2026. Traders embed their views on volatility, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain developments into their positions. Comparing the implied odds here to analyst forecasts and historical price ranges can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in optimism or caution relative to recent trading levels.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1, where higher prices reflect stronger collective confidence. Traders buy and sell shares of outcomes, and the cumulative order flow determines the final odds you see displayed. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows you to enter or exit positions throughout the trading window without waiting for a counterparty.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Solana's price is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific price range in play will determine whether traders who backed a particular outcome are correct. Resolution happens automatically once the event date passes and the data is finalized, settling all open positions. Until that moment, you can continue trading based on your conviction and new information.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana network upgrades, changes in validator economics, shifts in broader crypto sentiment, and macroeconomic policy announcements. Regulatory developments affecting digital assets, competition from other layer-one blockchains, and on-chain activity metrics can all sway trader positioning. Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with SOL, so developments in those markets ripple through. Real-time news, developer adoption milestones, and institutional inflows or outflows are the kinds of signals traders monitor as they adjust their positions leading up to July 20.