TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe Solana's price will be, incorporating forward-looking sentiment that often differs from today's spot price. While spot markets show the current exchange rate, this market aggregates expectations about future price movement across a distributed set of participants with real financial stakes. The odds here typically embed information about upcoming catalysts, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain developments that spot traders may not yet have fully priced in, making them a distinct signal of medium-term directional bias.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into continuous probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome range carries its own price, and traders buy or sell shares to express their conviction, with the collective order flow determining the final odds. The system ensures transparent, real-time pricing without intermediaries, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, at which point the final Solana price will be verified against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct price range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the settlement data is confirmed, ensuring all participants receive payouts fairly and transparently based on the verified closing price.
Major catalysts for this market include Solana network upgrades, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, regulatory announcements affecting blockchain assets, macroeconomic data releases, and changes in institutional adoption or developer activity on the chain. Technical developments such as validator performance improvements or security incidents can also trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with SOL, so movements in larger crypto assets frequently cascade into this market as traders adjust their Solana exposure accordingly.