TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana price on August 7?
polymarket
kalshi

Solana price on August 7?

Volume:
$124,439

$73 or above

 - Kalshi

$73 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,306
N/A
N/A
$5,608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,563
N/A
N/A
$4,104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,818
N/A
N/A
$4,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,600
N/A
N/A
$4,884
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,007
N/A
N/A
$2,751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,232
N/A
N/A
$3,197
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70-80

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,586
N/A
N/A
$1,337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,199
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$45 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$46 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$47 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$48 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,281
N/A
N/A
$8,173
Settled
No
kalshi

$75 or above

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,671
N/A
N/A
$14,723
Settled
No
polymarket

60-70

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$76 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,476
N/A
N/A
$2,323
Settled
No
kalshi

$77 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,222
N/A
N/A
$972
Settled
No
kalshi

$79 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$926
Settled
No
kalshi

$81 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$729
N/A
N/A
$729
Settled
No
polymarket

>120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks the price of Solana (SOL) on August 7, 2026, across two prediction markets: Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket uses Binance's SOL/USDT closing price at noon ET, while Kalshi uses the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch due to different data sources and timingHero tip: Monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks price feeds leading up to August 7. Consider hedging positions if significant divergence emerges between the two sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance SOL/USDT closing price at noon ET on August 7, 2026. Market resolves to "No" if price is below specified thresholds.
  • Kalshi: Uses simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026. Market resolves to Yes if average is above specified thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds based on the price of SOL (Solana) measured by CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI index at 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026. For each threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes' if the simple average of the sixty seconds of SOLUSD_RTI prices immediately before 5 PM EDT exceeds the specified threshold value (e.g., above $44.9999 for $45 or above). The official price is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) price readings collected in the final minute before expiration. All markets share this measurement methodology, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The secondary rule clarifies that while public sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the resolving price strictly follows CF Benchmarks' RTI data, avoiding discrepancies from varying market data providers.

Frequently asked questions

The Solana price market dashboard aggregates predictions from multiple venues, giving you a live view of where traders think the asset will trade on the target date. It shows real-time odds, volume of $124,439, and 24-hour volume of $76,882 across platforms, helping you gauge consensus in the short_topic. This multi-platform snapshot lets you see how expectations shift as we near the resolution window.