TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana price on August 21?
polymarket
kalshi

Solana price on August 21?

Volume:
$95,282

$80 or above

 - Kalshi

$80 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,511
N/A
N/A
$2,430
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$91 or above

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,847
N/A
N/A
$2,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$90 or above

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,847
N/A
N/A
$2,778
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,290
N/A
N/A
$2,888
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84 or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,734
N/A
N/A
$2,353
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,251
N/A
N/A
$1,380
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$88 or above

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,002
N/A
N/A
$2,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,897
N/A
N/A
$2,511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,337
N/A
N/A
$410
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,289
N/A
N/A
$2,020
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$87 or above

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,244
N/A
N/A
$2,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$89 or above

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,100
N/A
N/A
$1,078
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82 or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,872
N/A
N/A
$1,091
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81 or above

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,790
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83 or above

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,523
N/A
N/A
$863
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$86 or above

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,478
N/A
N/A
$639
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,116
N/A
N/A
$834
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$965
N/A
N/A
$815
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90-100

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
$559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
$465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
$414
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
$396
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group focuses on predicting the price of Solana (SOL) on August 21, 2026. The markets cover a wide range of price thresholds and ranges, with different platforms using varying data sources and resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in settlement value definition and timing between Polymarket (Binance close price at noon ET) and Kalshi (CF Benchmarks average before 5 PM EDT).Hero tip: Traders should verify which platform they are trading on and understand its specific resolution criteria. The divergence in sources and timing could lead to different outcomes for markets on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 21. Market resolves to specific price range brackets based on this value.
  • Kalshi: Uses the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on August 21. Market resolves to Yes if the average is above any of the specified thresholds from $49.9999 to $98.9999.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 21, 2026, exceeds one or more specified price thresholds. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, ranging sequentially from $49.9999 to $98.9999. For any given market to resolve as 'Yes,' the calculated average must surpass the respective threshold value exactly as defined. The secondary rule clarifies that CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) is the authoritative source, with the official price determined by averaging 60 RTI data points captured during the final minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency and objectivity in resolving outcomes across all thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Solana price market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price expectations for Solana’s value on a specific date. It displays current odds, volume of $95,282, and 24-hour volume of $55,890 to reflect consensus and uncertainty. By pulling together feeds from different prediction markets, it offers a snapshot of collective sentiment toward the Solana price market, helping users gauge where the market stands as resolution approaches.