TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Solana price on August 14?
kalshi
polymarket

Solana price on August 14?

Volume:
$107,055

$75 or above

 - Kalshi

$75 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$75 or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,720
N/A
N/A
$9,430
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,733
N/A
N/A
$6,163
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,071
N/A
N/A
$4,771
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,602
N/A
N/A
$4,480
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,367
N/A
N/A
$3,498
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70-80

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,751
N/A
N/A
$2,211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$45 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$266
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$46 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$47 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$48 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$49 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,169
N/A
N/A
$8,200
Settled
No
kalshi

$77 or above

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,888
N/A
N/A
$6,434
Settled
No
kalshi

$79 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,543
N/A
N/A
$5,305
Settled
No
kalshi

$78 or above

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,281
N/A
N/A
$4,498
Settled
No
polymarket

60-70

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$60 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80-90

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$80 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
No
polymarket

100-110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$83 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$971
N/A
N/A
$835
Settled
No
kalshi

$81 or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$617
N/A
N/A
$616
Settled
No
kalshi

$90 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$549
Settled
No
polymarket

90-100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks the price of Solana (SOL) on August 14, comparing multiple bracket markets on Polymarket and a series of threshold markets on Kalshi. The Polymarket markets use Binance's official closing price at noon ET, while Kalshi uses a custom CF Benchmarks average before 5 PM EDT.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement value mismatch due to different data sources and timing windowsHero tip: Avoid cross-platform arbitrage; Polymarket's noon ET Binance close is more standardized. Kalshi's pre-5 PM EDT average introduces timing and methodology risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance's official closing price at noon ET on August 14 for SOL/USDT 1-minute candles
  • Kalshi: Uses the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI data before 5 PM EDT on August 14
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the price of SOL exceeds various thresholds at 5 PM EDT on August 14, 2026, using the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI immediately before that time. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the calculated average exceeds the respective threshold. The official price is derived from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), with the final value determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency and objectivity in determining outcomes across all thresholds, with identical data collection and calculation processes applied uniformly to all markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Solana price market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the chance of different outcomes. It displays consensus odds, volume trends, and cross-platform comparisons, letting you see how the market for Solana's price on August 14 is shaping up in real time.