TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Compared to typical spot price forecasts from analysts or polls, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook. Traders incorporate recent trading volume, macro trends, and sentiment shifts directly into their bets. While traditional forecasts may focus on broad averages, this market captures fine-grained expectations by letting participants weigh probabilities rather than single-point predictions.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting pool where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the ratio of funds behind each side, adjusted for liquidity and recent trades. As trading volume of $7,266 flows in, small shifts in buyer and seller activity can move the implied odds quickly.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing price of Solana will be checked against the defined range, and contracts for matching positions will automatically settle according to the rules set by Polymarket.
Key signals that could shift this market include major Solana network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, unexpected volatility from broader market trends, and high-profile institutional trades. Any development that changes trader confidence in Solana’s price action near August 10 may cause rapid re-pricing of probabilities on Polymarket as participants adjust their positions.