TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana above ___ on September 5?
polymarket
kalshi

Solana above ___ on September 5?

Volume:
$73,883

$100 or above

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$100 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,127
N/A
N/A
$2,961
Settled
Yes
polymarket

100

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$101 or above

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,918
N/A
N/A
$4,441
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$99 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,368
N/A
N/A
$1,751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,866
N/A
N/A
$1,866
Settled
Yes
polymarket

85

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$90 or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$98 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$905
N/A
N/A
$456
Settled
Yes
polymarket

95

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$95 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$91 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
$242
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$97 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$96 or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$93 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$102 or above

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,404
N/A
N/A
$3,687
Settled
No
kalshi

$103 or above

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,003
N/A
N/A
$3,414
Settled
No
kalshi

$108 or above

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,741
N/A
N/A
$3,056
Settled
No
kalshi

$105 or above

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,663
N/A
N/A
$3,404
Settled
No
polymarket

105

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$104 or above

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,855
N/A
N/A
$1,307
Settled
No
polymarket

120

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will exceed various thresholds on September 5, 2026. The markets differ in their specific price thresholds and resolution methodologies across two platforms: Kalshi and Polymarket.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on Solana's price exceeding specified thresholds on September 5, 2026, though they use different measurement times and price sources.Primary resolution logic: Binance 1-minute candle close price for SOL/USDT at 12:00 ET on September 5, 2026 (Polymarket) and CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI average before 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026 (Kalshi)

Core resolution logic:

  • For Polymarket: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Binance's SOL/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on September 5, 2026, is above the specified threshold.
  • For Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if the simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI over the sixty seconds before 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026, is above the specified threshold.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Time Zone Discrepancy: Polymarket uses ET for its 12:00 measurement, while Kalshi uses EDT (which is ET but accounts for daylight saving time). This could lead to different times being referenced depending on whether daylight saving time is in effect.
  • Threshold Precision: Kalshi thresholds are specified to four decimal places (e.g., $79.9999), while Polymarket thresholds are to two decimal places (e.g., $80). This could result in different outcomes for very close prices.
Timing: Resolution occurs on September 5, 2026, for Polymarket, and on September 4, 2026, for Kalshi, based on their respective measurement times.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

Each market in this set has a primary rule that checks whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI price data immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026, exceeds a specific threshold. The thresholds increase sequentially across the markets, starting from $79.9999 and going up in increments of $1. The market resolves to "Yes" if the calculated average price is above the respective threshold for that market; otherwise, it resolves to "No." All markets share the same secondary rule, which clarifies that CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) is the official data source, and the final price is derived from averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. This ensures consistency in measurement despite variations in other publicly available price feeds.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Solana price market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of Solana closing above a certain level on September 5. It displays current odds, volume of $73,883, and 24-hour volume of $47,990, offering a consensus view of market expectations for this crypto event.