TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on future price movements compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect current market value, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding Solana's price on Sep 22, 2026. If a significant difference emerges between the implied probability in this market and analyst forecasts or polls, it may indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet reflected in conventional price predictions. This divergence can be a valuable signal for those following the cryptocurrency space.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Solana will be above a certain price on Sep 22, 2026. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure raises the price (and probability), while increased selling pressure lowers it. This creates a fluid and responsive market for forecasting Solana's future price.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted data source at a specific point in time on the resolution date. The platform will verify the data and determine whether Solana was trading above the specified price, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor the resolution process on Polymarket for updates.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 22, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as network upgrades, partnerships, or the launch of new decentralized applications, could influence trader sentiment. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin's price action and overall investor risk appetite, will also play a role. Additionally, macroeconomic factors like inflation data, interest rate decisions, and regulatory announcements related to digital assets could all impact the price of Solana and, consequently, the trading activity in this market.