TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations, incorporating a wider range of information and potential future events. This market, specifically, allows traders to express their beliefs about Solana’s price based on factors not always captured in conventional financial analysis. If the odds strongly favor Solana being above a certain price, it suggests a bullish sentiment not necessarily mirrored in current spot prices or analyst forecasts. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments and the inclusion of external factors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Solana being above the target price on the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment. Higher demand for shares indicating a 'yes' outcome will increase their price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of traders.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at a specific time on September 20, 2026. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying market outcomes. Traders should review the platform’s documentation for complete details on the resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 20, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as successful network upgrades or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could boost confidence and drive up the price of shares. Conversely, negative news regarding network security, regulatory challenges, or increased competition from other blockchain platforms could lower prices. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, will also play a role in shaping this market.