TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than typical spot price expectations for Solana. While spot prices reflect immediate market conditions, this market represents a collective forecast of where the price will be on a specific date in the future. Discrepancies can arise from factors like anticipated news events, regulatory changes, or shifts in broader market sentiment. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into how informed traders perceive the risks and opportunities associated with Solana’s price movement.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Solana being above the specified price on September 19. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. The market will determine whether the price of Solana is above or below the threshold, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price movements.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 19, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could influence the price. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Additionally, regulatory announcements or macroeconomic factors impacting the financial markets could create volatility and shift predictions within this market.