TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana above ___ on September 12?
polymarket
kalshi

Will Solana be above the price on September 12?

Volume:
$72,950

$102 or above

 - Kalshi

$102 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$102 or above

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,065
N/A
N/A
$4,353
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$101 or above

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,910
N/A
N/A
$3,701
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$100 or above

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,933
N/A
N/A
$2,853
Settled
Yes
polymarket

100

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$97 or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,994
N/A
N/A
$937
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$98 or above

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,765
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$99 or above

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$95 or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
$636
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$96 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$548
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$94 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$510
Settled
Yes
polymarket

95

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$93 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$92 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
polymarket

85

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$103 or above

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,072
N/A
N/A
$3,705
Settled
No
kalshi

$106 or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,095
N/A
N/A
$7,171
Settled
No
kalshi

$104 or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,329
N/A
N/A
$2,414
Settled
No
kalshi

$105 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,218
N/A
N/A
$3,554
Settled
No
polymarket

105

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

These markets ask whether the price of Solana (SOL) will be above a specified threshold on September 12th. The thresholds vary across different markets, creating a series of related but distinct questions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge in their settlement value (Binance close price vs. CF Benchmarks average) and timing (September 12th vs. September 11th).Hero tip: Consider the potential for price movement between September 11th and 12th. A price above the threshold on September 11th does not guarantee it will remain above on September 12th, and vice-versa.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the 12:00 PM ET close price of SOL/USDT on Binance on September 12th. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $X.XX at 5 PM EDT on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if, at 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026, the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI immediately before that time exceeds a specific dollar amount. The thresholds for 'Yes' outcomes increment sequentially across markets, starting from $74.9999 and increasing in $1 steps up to $123.9999. The official price is derived exclusively from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), with the final value determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency and objectivity, as general price sources like Google or Coinbase are not used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market tracks predictions on whether the price of Solana will be above a certain level on September 12, 2026. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus expectation reflected in a combined volume of $72,950. The dashboard displays the probabilities and trading volume across both platforms, offering a comprehensive look at market sentiment. Traders on these platforms are expressing their beliefs about Solana’s future price, creating a forward-looking indicator. This allows for a unique comparison of perspectives on the Solana price.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, represent the collective wisdom of traders anticipating a future event. They differ from simple spot price expectations by incorporating risk assessment and the probability of various outcomes. If the current price of Solana is near the threshold being predicted, the implied probability from this market can reveal whether traders believe a price increase is more or less likely than currently reflected in the spot market. This provides a valuable signal beyond current price data, factoring in potential catalysts and market sentiment.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could influence price expectations. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and regulatory news, will also play a role. Macroeconomic factors, like interest rate changes or inflation data, could affect risk sentiment and impact Solana’s price. Unexpected news regarding Solana’s competitors or security breaches could also cause substantial shifts in this market.