TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective assessment of Solana's price trajectory, which often diverges from current spot prices or near-term technical analysis. The market on Polymarket prices in longer-term macro factors, regulatory developments, and on-chain adoption trends that may not be fully reflected in intraday spot movements. Comparing prediction odds to analyst price targets and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus expectations. This gap highlights the value of prediction markets as forward-looking price discovery mechanisms.
The Solana above ___ on June 7 market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Solana's spot price at that moment. All open positions settle based on whether the final price meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference price is confirmed, and traders receive payouts according to their position outcomes. This fixed end date ensures clarity and prevents ambiguity, allowing participants to plan their trades with a known deadline.
Several catalysts could influence Solana's price trajectory toward June 7. Major network upgrades, validator growth, or announcements from key ecosystem projects could drive bullish momentum. Conversely, regulatory scrutiny, security incidents, or broader crypto market downturns could pressure the price lower. Macroeconomic shifts—interest rate decisions, inflation data, or risk-on sentiment—also impact Solana alongside other risk assets. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity may signal fundamental strength or weakness. Monitoring these factors helps traders anticipate directional moves and adjust their positions accordingly.