TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot prices represent what Solana is worth right now. This market aggregates thousands of individual bets into a single probability, which often diverges from near-term price action because traders are pricing in volatility, regulatory shifts, and macroeconomic factors over the full forecast window. Comparing the implied odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to consensus views. The gap between the two signals potential trading opportunities.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders who backed the correct side receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution hinges on whether Solana's price meets or exceeds the threshold at the specified time. Until that moment, positions remain open and prices continue to fluctuate based on new information and trading activity.
Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, changes in validator economics, shifts in institutional adoption, and broader crypto market sentiment. Regulatory announcements affecting blockchain platforms, macroeconomic policy shifts, and competing layer-one developments can all influence trader expectations. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and active addresses provide real-time signals of network health. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with Solana, so tracking those assets helps anticipate directional pressure on this market.