TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, whereas spot price represents what Solana trades for right now. This market embeds forward-looking sentiment about SOL's value on a specific future date. If the current spot price sits well below the threshold in question, yet this market shows strong bullish odds, that divergence signals trader expectations of significant appreciation. Conversely, weak odds despite a high spot price may indicate skepticism about sustained upside. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to today's trading levels.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether Solana's price meets or exceeds the specified level on that date. Once the event is verifiable from established market data, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. The exact timing and data source ensure transparency and prevent disputes, allowing all participants to trust the final result.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Jun 26, 2026. Major Solana network upgrades, changes in developer activity, or shifts in institutional adoption could drive bullish momentum. Conversely, regulatory announcements, security incidents, or broader crypto market downturns could dampen sentiment. Macroeconomic events—such as Federal Reserve policy shifts or stock market volatility—often ripple through digital assets. Additionally, competing blockchain developments or changes in validator economics might influence trader positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics, news flow, and Bitcoin's price action will help you gauge whether this market's current odds remain justified or are due for adjustment.