TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no positions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of yes-share volume to total volume, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (0% to 100%). Traders profit by correctly predicting whether SOL will exceed the threshold by Jun 10, 2026. Liquidity and order-book spreads on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive rates.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined based on Solana's price level at that time. Resolution occurs after market close, allowing all final trades to settle. The binary outcome—yes or no—is established by comparing SOL's price to the specified threshold. Winning positions are paid out in full, while losing positions expire worthless. Early traders can exit before resolution by selling their shares at the current market price.
Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, validator performance improvements, and ecosystem adoption milestones. Regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly or Solana specifically can trigger sharp price swings. Macroeconomic shifts—interest rate decisions, inflation data, risk-on sentiment—often drive altcoin volatility. Competition from other Layer 1 blockchains and changes in developer activity on Solana can influence long-term positioning. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and staking participation may signal fundamental strength or weakness ahead of Jun 10, 2026.