TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana above ___ on July 6?
polymarket

Solana above ___ on July 6?

Volume:
$9,011

80

 - Polymarket

80 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

40

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Solana price prediction market displays real-time odds and historical price data for traders wagering on whether SOL will trade above a specified level by July 6, 2026. It tracks the current probability implied by market participants, along with 24-hour trading volume and cumulative liquidity. This snapshot helps traders monitor sentiment shifts and identify entry or exit points as new information emerges. The interface updates continuously as bets are placed, reflecting the collective forecast of the prediction market community.

Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. If this market shows high odds for Solana trading above a given threshold, it signals bullish sentiment among participants willing to risk capital. Conversely, low odds suggest skepticism. These probabilities can differ from traditional price targets because prediction markets reward accuracy directly—traders profit only if their forecast proves correct, creating strong incentives for honest price discovery.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" or "no" outcomes, with prices ranging from $0.00 to $1.00 and reflecting the implied probability of Solana trading above the specified level by the deadline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts in real time as new trades occur, with the bid-ask spread indicating liquidity and conviction. Larger positions or sudden news can shift prices sharply, and traders can exit positions before resolution by selling shares to other participants.

This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders holding "yes" shares receive their payout if Solana's price meets or exceeds the threshold at that time; "no" holders are paid if it falls short. The resolution process is final once verified, and any remaining positions are settled automatically.

Major catalysts include Solana network upgrades, changes in developer activity, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, macroeconomic policy announcements, and regulatory developments affecting digital assets. Institutional adoption news, competing blockchain milestones, or security incidents can also sway trader conviction. Technical analysis and on-chain metrics—such as transaction volume and validator participation—may influence short-term price expectations. As the resolution date approaches, this market typically becomes more sensitive to real-time price action and breaking news.