TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 12:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often differs from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates trader sentiment, upcoming events, and macro factors to price in the probability of Solana being above a specific level by Aug 8, 2026. Analysts may see spot prices one way, but this market could imply a higher or lower probability based on collective bets.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through their bets, which directly influence the implied probability. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of participants, with volume of $2,676 showing how active trading is. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges, allowing the market to price in expectations for Solana’s performance leading up to Aug 8, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the result automatically reflected on Polymarket shortly after the relevant data becomes widely available and meets the platform’s verification standards.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 8, 2026. Major Solana ecosystem announcements, regulatory updates, broader crypto market moves, and macroeconomic data releases may all influence trader sentiment. Positive or negative news around Solana’s adoption, network upgrades, or tokenomics changes could cause rapid shifts in implied probabilities, especially as the resolution date approaches.