TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates trader expectations about future conditions, macroeconomic factors, and potential shocks up to Aug 25, 2026. The odds can therefore appear more bullish or bearish than present market prices, depending on how participants anticipate Solana will perform over the coming weeks.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously submit bids and asks that determine the market price. The displayed odds reflect the aggregated wisdom of all participants, with liquidity providers helping to narrow spreads. As new information emerges — such as major exchange updates or macroeconomic data — the market price adjusts dynamically based on real-time trading activity and order book depth.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the result automatically reflected on the platform once the data is beyond doubt, eliminating the need to track it manually.
Several signals could shift expectations before Aug 25, 2026. Key events include major Solana network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, unexpected macroeconomic data influencing risk appetite, and large trades on major exchanges that temporarily sway price levels. Any development that changes the perceived probability of Solana trading above the target level by the resolution date can cause rapid re-pricing in this market.