TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. In this market, the probability implied by trading activity reflects trader consensus on whether Solana will trade above a specific level by Aug 21, 2026. This can differ from technical or fundamental analyst forecasts, as it incorporates market sentiment and positioning rather than just present price action.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting pool where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The current odds are set by the relative supply and demand for each outcome, with volume of $48,501 indicating liquidity. Traders’ positions adjust the implied probability continuously, reflecting the most recent betting activity on the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the closing price at the specified time, as recorded from reliable, widely accepted sources, ensuring an impartial and transparent conclusion for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major Solana network upgrades, regulatory announcements, unexpected macroeconomic shifts, or significant trading volume spikes on major exchanges. Any news that influences investor sentiment or alters the perceived trajectory of the asset may cause rapid re-pricing among traders on Polymarket as they adjust their positions.